EVIDENCE BEFORE EXECUTION

Is the strategy earning its risk?

Closed forward-paper outcomes, separated by rule version, exchange and timeframe. These are simulations, not verified live-account returns.

No strategy is certified profitable here.

1R is the initial planned price risk. Profit factor below 1 and average net R below zero indicate a losing recorded sample. A positive sample still needs unseen testing, realistic execution costs and portfolio-risk checks.

Do not sum overlapping trades as an account return. The simulator uses cost assumptions rather than actual exchange fills or funding settlements.

Loading recorded paper outcomes…

Medium-term historical tests · five markets

4-hour rules on Binance futures archives. Historical funding and full market-regime replay are excluded. These samples are exploratory, not live approval. Test snapshot: 2026-09-09T16:41:28.709Z.

BTCUSDT

38 trades · average 0.2401R · profit factor 1.675

Final chronological sample: 12 trades · 0.4583R average.

First entry 2026-01-26T00:00:00.000Z; last exit 2026-08-28T19:59:59.999Z.

ETHUSDT

53 trades · average 0.0841R · profit factor 1.186

Final chronological sample: 16 trades · -0.3299R average.

First entry 2026-01-29T16:00:00.000Z; last exit 2026-08-28T19:59:59.999Z.

SOLUSDT

43 trades · average -0.0833R · profit factor 0.844

Final chronological sample: 13 trades · -0.348R average.

First entry 2026-01-23T20:00:00.000Z; last exit 2026-08-29T23:59:59.999Z.

HYPEUSDT

44 trades · average -0.0022R · profit factor 0.996

Final chronological sample: 14 trades · 0.1198R average.

First entry 2026-01-19T16:00:00.000Z; last exit 2026-08-29T11:59:59.999Z.

ZECUSDT

32 trades · average -0.208R · profit factor 0.638

Final chronological sample: 10 trades · -0.3074R average.

First entry 2026-01-26T00:00:00.000Z; last exit 2026-08-25T23:59:59.999Z.

BTC's final sample became negative with doubled costs. Limiting setups to triangles and pullbacks did not consistently improve results across markets. No tested variation is approved for live trading.

What each workspace means

Scanner: a separate multi-timeframe strategy. Its ranking is only a discovery aid for the decision desks; its validation does not validate their rules.

Short term: 5m–1h research. WAIT means at least one entry condition has not passed. Fees and spread matter especially with tight stops.

Medium term: 4h–1d research. Requires higher-timeframe agreement and acceptable market integrity. A low signal count is not a reason to loosen those checks.

FlipZone: isolated, unvalidated research. No dedicated saved forward-performance series is wired into this page. Do not infer profitability from zone quality or from either decision desk.

Before live use: freeze the exact rules, test a new holdout period, stress costs, check drawdown and correlated exposure, and gather forward results using the same execution rules.